Japanese Yen Declines versus US and EU Currencies

The Japanese yen reached a seven-year low versus the US currency and a six-year slump against the common currency as traders opted for carry trades subsidized by very low liquidity from Japan’s Central Bank.

The US dollar went as high as 118.09 yen. It was above the yen in 24 hours and almost 10 yen since the BOJ came out with a surprise stimulus package in the market before the end of last month.

At the same time, the euro surged to 148.05 after gaining 1.1 percent over 10 yen in 14 trading sessions.

Members of the US central bank seemed to be quite indifferent about the strength of the dollar. This was opposite of what other primary central banks have in mind where weaker currencies have been favored.

The take-profit level of the US dollar and Japanese yen remains ahead of the principal 120-Japanese yen level.

Stock markets were focused on the yen so the common currency moved only a bit on the dollar and edged up to $1.2553 EUR. This was below resistance of roughly $1.2600.

The euro was higher after a survey indicated that majority of voters did not favor a proposal for the Swiss central bank to purchase more gold.

The euro was close to 1.2010 francs. On the other hand, the price of gold price was recorded at $1,182 per ounce.


 british pound updateAfter inflation data showed a leap to the positive side, the GBP/USD musters some strength today that bolstered the pound to mobilize and added19 points trading at 1.5659. According to data published by the Office for National Statistics last Tuesday, U.K. inflation in the escalated by 1.3% on October as compared with the increase of 1.2% last September. Inflation expected to come was1.2%. ONS added that smaller reductions in the motor fuels and air fares cost; as well as increase of prices for computer games served as the main factors that pushing the inflation rate higher.

Officials of BOE believe that despite October’s recovery, it is possible for inflation to invigorate further these coming months on account of the falling cost of food and commodities coupled with the slow growth in prominent parts of the global economy. Last Monday, PM David Cameron stated that warning lights for economic are shining red, that is a possible prediction for harder times U.K. will be facing ahead for the U.K. despite being the fastest-growing advanced economies this year.

As BOE officials anticipated a slowdown, CB on Wednesday sever its prediction for growth of economy and inflation for the next few years and Governor Mark Carney led officials in signaling that they may not raise benchmark interest rate from a record low of 0.5% until the second half of 2015.

UK Legislators Grill Bankers

Lawmakers from the United Kingdom are poised to question prominent bankers amid the settlement of $4.3 billion made last week.

According to reliable sources, the decision of the influential Treasury Select Committee had been approved in theory. However, enquiries as to how traders tried to influence the currency market may not be conducted until next month.

The TSC is expected to grill bankers and watchdogs publicly after several leading banks forged agreements with regulators from the United States, United Kingdom and Switzerland.

The most recent dishonour in the FOREX industry raised new demands for said banks to be held liable for transgression.

The currency rigging made by traders called the “three musketeers” went on until the last quarter of last year. This was approximately 16 months following the LIBOR scandal.

TSC Chairman Andrew Tyrie expressed indignation over the foreign exchange transgression. He declared that traders conspiring to cause detriment to clients and markets should be stripped of their licences. Their salaries should also be deferred because of this offense.

The Bank of England already sacked the head of its foreign exchange division after the probe disapproved of his treatment of dubious market practices.

There was a recommendation that compensation of senior bankers should be withheld if it is found out that they go against the policies.

It is not yet clear if the TSC will also probe officials from UK’s central bank as well as the Financial Conduct Authority.

FOREX Updates

FOREXAs traders moved back to USD, the GBP/USD pair plunged 36 points marking a new low of 1.5636. Governor Mark Carney of BOE Bank of England and chief economist, Andy Haldane, stipulated that they are concentrated on the drawback uncertainty to inflation as CB stresses emphasizes why it holds on to its loose monetary policy.

Following Carney’s comments last Wednesday, the sterling stays at the focal point in this moment. As detailed by BOE yesterday in its update, the Bank of England is not going to give the pound much support into 2015 and any motivation over GBP will only be there should it is supported by the data sure. Inflation and wages are expectations from the usual release of data.  Rate hike of Q4 was not the effect of wage outlook; even an escalation in Q1 will not happen because of low outlook in inflation. With the general election scheduled for May, Q2 is politically dangerous that is the reason why there is an overall view of Q3/4. Without this, sterling becomes more helpless.

Demoting the forecast of growth has permitted traders of fixed-income to harmfully prune their expectations for a rate hike interest. As before, the market was pursuing hike in the midyear of 2015. Today, it has conformed to the policies of U.K. It was the policymakers who predicted that the first rate rise of U.K will happen in the third quarter, 2015. Presently, there are incentives for wanting to possess GBP, however, it will not be a surprise if the market will be able to see better levels to “short” the pound.